2015-2016 sports wagering thread - Page 5 - Antsmarching.org Forums - Dave Matthews Band Discussion
Old 09-15-2015, 06:12 AM   #121
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Re: 2015-2016 sports wagering thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by thebridge15 View Post
Niners +3
never in doubt

nfl 3-2
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Originally Posted by Rebecca De Mornay View Post
bills are paying the jags o-line coach 4 million this year.

that will be a tough one for the aliens to figure out.
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  • Old 09-15-2015, 06:45 AM   #122
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    Re: 2015-2016 sports wagering thread

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    Just an absolute miracle cover on the over, but an excruciating way for it to happen. My pops and my brother are Giants fans, what a fucking bonehead decision to not run on 3rd down there.

    Also had a nice big hypothetical in-game Over 36.5 which was a no-brainer, but not counting that in here.

    Tonight:
    Philly -3

    CFB: 9-5 (5-1 ATS)
    NFL: 3-3 (2-2 ATS)
    Still don't know why Chip didn't call a timeout before rushing his kicker out there. Also missed a nice Eagles halftime ML at +400 b/c of that. Parlayed the under with the Eagles ML as well, this is what I get for doubling down like a moron.

    Thursday and Monday nights are so dangerous. I never have a great feel for those games but end up betting them anyways just because they're on. So so dumb.

    CFB: 9-5 (5-1 ATS)
    NFL: 3-4 (2-3 ATS)
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    Old 09-15-2015, 02:27 PM   #123
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    Re: 2015-2016 sports wagering thread

    CFB Week 2:
    7-12

    Overall:
    19-19

    NFL Week 1:
    9-6-1
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    Old 09-15-2015, 03:53 PM   #124
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    Re: 2015-2016 sports wagering thread

    Cfb: 5-0
    nfl: 2-3-1
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    Old 09-17-2015, 08:11 AM   #125
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    Re: 2015-2016 sports wagering thread

    Tough to get a read on tonight's game. Going to go with Under 42.5, might stay away from the spread though, could really see it going either way.

    Edit- talking about the NFL game, didn't realize there was Clemson -6.5 @ Louisville tonight as well. Probably gonna end up playing that game as well.
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    Old 09-17-2015, 08:48 AM   #126
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    Re: 2015-2016 sports wagering thread

    why is clemson only favored by 6.5...

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    Originally Posted by Rebecca De Mornay View Post
    bills are paying the jags o-line coach 4 million this year.

    that will be a tough one for the aliens to figure out.
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    Old 09-17-2015, 09:10 AM   #127
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    Re: 2015-2016 sports wagering thread

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    Originally Posted by thebridge15 View Post
    why is clemson only favored by 6.5...

    I know, I thought this as well. If it's too good to be true, it probably is...still tempting though. Maybe linesmakers figure Louisville is at home, short week of rest for Clemson, might be underestimating LVille, Thursday night games are always sort of wacky.
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    Old 09-17-2015, 10:10 AM   #128
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    Re: 2015-2016 sports wagering thread

    Thursday home dogs in college do very well. Also, kind of a desperation game for Louisville. I am staying away from the spread, but would def take the points if I had to bet it.
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    Old 09-17-2015, 11:41 AM   #129
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    Re: 2015-2016 sports wagering thread

    I keep going back and forth. 1st half has Clemson -3. Might take that.
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    Old 09-17-2015, 12:03 PM   #130
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    Re: 2015-2016 sports wagering thread

    I feel like in these college Thursday night games, when there's a home dog, it's usually by no more than 3. I remember a few instances last year of it hitting and being on the wrong side of it, but it was close enough where I felt like it was difficult to pick. From what I've read and seen, Clemson is legit this year. More talented than they've been in a while. I know Dabo is a little bit of a doofus sometimes but Louisville is putrid this year. Booking it, Clemson -6 (buy 1/2 pt like a loser).

    (Here comes LVille outright win 34-31).
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    Old 09-17-2015, 03:59 PM   #131
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    Re: 2015-2016 sports wagering thread

    Rolling with Chiefs -3


    KC secondary better than Balt. Manning will face pressure & w Anderson banged up that's a lot to put on Ronnie Hillman.

    Denver doesn't cover TE's very well so Kelce could be looking at a big yardage gm again




    YTD 15-10
    NFL 3-4
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    Old 09-17-2015, 04:34 PM   #132
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    Re: 2015-2016 sports wagering thread

    Got Clemson at -5.
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    Old 09-17-2015, 05:03 PM   #133
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    Re: 2015-2016 sports wagering thread

    going to add OVER 60.5 yds receiving Travis Kelce
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    Old 09-17-2015, 05:11 PM   #134
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    Re: 2015-2016 sports wagering thread

    Chiefs -3

    NFL 3-2

    Unofficially have under in Lou Clemson
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    Quote:
    Originally Posted by Rebecca De Mornay View Post
    bills are paying the jags o-line coach 4 million this year.

    that will be a tough one for the aliens to figure out.
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    Old 09-17-2015, 08:54 PM   #135
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    Re: 2015-2016 sports wagering thread

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by Jake View Post
    Rolling with Chiefs -3


    KC secondary better than Balt. Manning will face pressure & w Anderson banged up that's a lot to put on Ronnie Hillman.

    Denver doesn't cover TE's very well so Kelce could be looking at a big yardage gm again




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    NFL 3-4
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by Jake View Post
    going to add OVER 60.5 yds receiving Travis Kelce
    Andy Reid should be fired. Alex Smith should be cut.


    Chiefs finish under .500 after that debacle.


    YTD 15-12
    NFL 3-6
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    Old 09-17-2015, 09:07 PM   #136
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    Re: 2015-2016 sports wagering thread

    I just assumed Kelce got over 60 with that big catch and run on their last (well third to last I guess) drive. He didn't?
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    Old 09-18-2015, 04:44 AM   #137
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    Re: 2015-2016 sports wagering thread

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    Originally Posted by luccic12 View Post
    I just assumed Kelce got over 60 with that big catch and run on their last (well third to last I guess) drive. He didn't?
    4-57


    O'Shaughnessy had 2 receptions that are usually Kelce's patterns. But the reality is that if Smith waits on the 1st drive he throws Kelce a TD on the 1st drive. But he dumps it to his 1st target every time.
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    Old 09-18-2015, 06:18 AM   #138
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    Re: 2015-2016 sports wagering thread

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by M. Steng View Post
    Tough to get a read on tonight's game. Going to go with Under 42.5 , might stay away from the spread though, could really see it going either way.

    Edit- talking about the NFL game, didn't realize there was Clemson -6.5 @ Louisville tonight as well. Probably gonna end up playing that game as well.
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by M. Steng View Post
    I feel like in these college Thursday night games, when there's a home dog, it's usually by no more than 3. I remember a few instances last year of it hitting and being on the wrong side of it, but it was close enough where I felt like it was difficult to pick. From what I've read and seen, Clemson is legit this year. More talented than they've been in a while. I know Dabo is a little bit of a doofus sometimes but Louisville is putrid this year. Booking it, Clemson -6 (buy 1/2 pt like a loser).

    (Here comes LVille outright win 34-31).
    Little rough patch lately...this is when I start creeping into my own brain and doubting myself. Can't bet scared. Had I know LVille was blacking out the stadium and wearing the uniforms with the Olde English font on them I would have never taken Clemson.

    Took over 48.5 and DEN +3.5 right before halftime so it wasn't as bad of a bloodbath, but obviously not counting those for thread purposes.

    Rolling with BC +8 tonight. It's their Red Bandanna game, you don't lose Red Bandanna games.

    CFB: 9-6 (5-2 ATS)
    NFL: 3-5 (2-3 ATS)
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    Old 09-18-2015, 07:40 AM   #139
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    Re: 2015-2016 sports wagering thread

    Those helmet by Louisville were pretty sweet. Clemson had a chance to cover, if Louisville had tied it up to send it to OT.
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    Old 09-18-2015, 04:48 PM   #140
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    Re: 2015-2016 sports wagering thread

    GT -2.5
    Iowa -5.5
    TCU/SMU OVER 66.5
    BYU +16.5


    CFB YTD: 7-2
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    Old 09-18-2015, 05:05 PM   #141
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    Re: 2015-2016 sports wagering thread

    Arizona St -26

    UNDER 48.5 FSU/BC



    YTD 15-12
    NFL 3-6
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    Old 09-18-2015, 05:36 PM   #142
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    Re: 2015-2016 sports wagering thread

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by thebridge15 View Post
    Chiefs -3

    NFL 3-2

    Unofficially have under in Lou Clemson
    I don't want to talk about it

    NFL 3-3
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    Quote:
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    bills are paying the jags o-line coach 4 million this year.

    that will be a tough one for the aliens to figure out.
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    Old 09-19-2015, 05:26 AM   #143
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    Re: 2015-2016 sports wagering thread

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    Originally Posted by Jake View Post
    Arizona St -26

    UNDER 48.5 FSU/BC



    YTD 15-12
    NFL 3-6
    ASU was still in their funk in the 1st half, or they easily cover. Bummer.



    YTD 16-13
    NFL 3-6
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    Old 09-19-2015, 05:41 AM   #144
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    Re: 2015-2016 sports wagering thread

    USC +17.5 @ UGA

    Look we suck, but that line is too high. All of our games are always close. Spurrier owns real estate in Richt's head.
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    Old 09-19-2015, 06:08 AM   #145
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    Re: 2015-2016 sports wagering thread

    Illinois +8
    LSU -7
    VTech/Purdue 49u
    Ohio State/NIU 67u
    Florida/Kentucky 52u
    Iowa State/Toledo 58u
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    Old 09-19-2015, 06:45 AM   #146
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    Re: 2015-2016 sports wagering thread

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by M. Steng View Post
    Little rough patch lately...this is when I start creeping into my own brain and doubting myself. Can't bet scared. Had I know LVille was blacking out the stadium and wearing the uniforms with the Olde English font on them I would have never taken Clemson.

    Took over 48.5 and DEN +3.5 right before halftime so it wasn't as bad of a bloodbath, but obviously not counting those for thread purposes.

    Rolling with BC +8 tonight. It's their Red Bandanna game, you don't lose Red Bandanna games.

    CFB: 9-6 (5-2 ATS)
    NFL: 3-5 (2-3 ATS)
    This game was covering the whole time until their O-Line decided to not block the nose tackle on a pass play. Also would have been nice to play to win instead of not to lose.

    Early picks:

    Northwestern ML +150 @ Duke
    USF ML +220 @ Maryland
    Duke/Northwestern Under 49
    Tulsa/Oklahoma Under 71

    CFB: 9-7 (5-3 ATS)
    NFL: 3-5 (2-3 ATS)
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    Last edited by M. Steng; 09-19-2015 at 06:49 AM.
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    Old 09-19-2015, 07:12 AM   #147
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    Re: 2015-2016 sports wagering thread

    First official picks of the year

    Michigan/UNLV under 48
    GA Tech -3
    Wisconsin-35
    Ohio St -35
    USC -9
    WKU/Indiana over 73
    Alabama -7
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    Old 09-19-2015, 07:43 AM   #148
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    Re: 2015-2016 sports wagering thread

    going with the old early/middle/late formula


    UNDER 41.5 Mizzou/UCONN

    I don't know what's wrong with Mizzou, but against a pretty tough Husky D they won't find it today


    Air Force +24.5


    MSU off an emotional win on an early kickoff v a non-traditional look should keep the falcons within the number


    Auburn +7


    really feel this number is a reax to last weeks game. But the Cigar Game for War Eagle means play tough D. would not shock me to see a SU win here


    Miami -3


    don't really like backing the Canes a lot, but I think this is a statement 'blow their doors off' game for Miami


    UTEP -3

    Miners are for real; don't be fooled by their weird scores


    UNDER 52.5 Alabama/Ole Miss


    old fashioned slugfest.


    and one special


    OVER 36 1/2 half Tex A&M/Nevada


    A&M traditional fast starter and Nevada got on the board for 13 v Arizona a week ago. That should be plenty to get over the hump



    YTD 16-13
    NFL 3-6
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    Old 09-19-2015, 07:58 AM   #149
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    Re: 2015-2016 sports wagering thread

    Been MIA.

    OhioState -35
    SCAR + 16.5
    PSU -9
    Auburn +7
    Bama -7

    0-0-0
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    Old 09-19-2015, 08:18 AM   #150
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    Re: 2015-2016 sports wagering thread

    Never posted picks before.


    Note Dame +2.5
    Purdue +6
    Air Force +26.5
    Ohio St -35
    Cincinnati -18.5
    Rice -8

    0-0-0
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