** 2016-2017 Sports Wagering Thread **

[hbktonyb]

Originally Posted by hbktonyb

Hotlanta -4
Hate the 16 points but can't go against NE -16

NE plays awful and still covers the 16. Brock may be the worst.

Today: KC -1, GB +6. Wonder if a dog will ever win.

Playoffs 3-3

[Razorback]

If you think Dallas will win and the Pit/KC game stays within a FG, you can tease GBY +10.5/Dal - 0.5/Pit +6/KC +4 for around 3.4/1

[Jake]

OVER 53 GB/Dal

OVER 44 Pit/KC

not sure Pit can slow down KC


btw, favorites 6-0 ats in the playoffs


YTD 182-178-6
NFL 45-42-3
Bowls 20-17
playoffs 3-7

[Razorback]

I'm rubbing Gby +210 all over my man tits. So hot

[Jake]

Originally Posted by Jake

OVER 53 GB/Dal

OVER 44 Pit/KC

not sure Pit can slow down KC


btw, favorites 6-0 ats in the playoffs


YTD 182-178-6
NFL 45-42-3
Bowls 20-17
playoffs 3-7

feel like I'm just missing; a TO here or there changes it

YTD 183-179-6
NFL 45-42-3
Bowls 20-17
playoffs 4-8

[hbktonyb]

Originally Posted by hbktonyb

NE plays awful and still covers the 16. Brock may be the worst.

Today: KC -1, GB +6. Wonder if a dog will ever win.

Playoffs 3-3

Score two more TD's than opponent, lose game. Nice.

Playoffs 4-4

[Razorback]

Originally Posted by Razorback

Already have futures on KC and GBY.
With that in mind, today I take

Pit +3
Gby +5

'Dogs gotta cover sometime in these playoffs, right?

Playoffs: 5-3

[M. Steng]

Teaser for the first game:

Packers +10.5/Over 55

[Razorback]

GBY +5.5
NE -6

Playoffs: 5-3

[hbktonyb]

Jeez Vegas is literally begging you to take GB with this line. Hmm.

[hbktonyb]

As shady as it is I gotta take the 6 points. Plus I want to root for the GOAT.

Also think NE covers the 6.

Playoffs 4-4

[Jake]

OVER 6.5 receptions Julio
OVER 8 receptions Julio 8/5
OVER 98.5 yds receiving Julio


I'm on Atlanta 13/5 to win SB; I'll just wait on the late game.


YTD 183-179-6
NFL 45-42-3
Bowls 20-17
playoffs 4-8

[Jake]

Originally Posted by Jake

OVER 6.5 receptions Julio
OVER 8 receptions Julio 8/5
OVER 98.5 yds receiving Julio


I'm on Atlanta 13/5 to win SB; I'll just wait on the late game.


YTD 183-179-6
NFL 45-42-3
Bowls 20-17
playoffs 4-8

I know my Julio


YTD 186-179-6
NFL 45-42-3
Bowls 20-17
playoffs 7-8

[Jake]

Super Bowl total jumped from 58.5 to 60 - hope everyone was lucky enough to grab it at 58.5

[M. Steng]

I actually think the game won't be that high-scoring. 27-21 type game.

[hbktonyb]

Originally Posted by hbktonyb

As shady as it is I gotta take the 6 points. Plus I want to root for the GOAT.

Also think NE covers the 6.

Playoffs 4-4

Playoffs 5-5

Still seeing 3 and 58.5. Tough game to call.

[Jake]

numbers that interest me ever so slightly - NE in the Brady era is 4-2 in Super Bowls... 2-0 as dogs/pick em ats, 0-4 ats as favorites.



http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/superbowl/history/

[ryguy469]

Getting crushed this week in College BBall. Xavier my latest disappointment

[Razorback]

Big day of racing at Gulfstream today.

[Razorback]

"California Chrome drew the 12 spot. It's a tough hole. First, since 2006, when the Gulfstream track was reconfigured, horses racing at the 1 1/8th mile distance and breaking from the 12 hole are 1 for 18. Think about that for a second. It's eleven years. Eighteen horses. One win.

Chrome will have to give it some gas for that eighth of a mile.

Bluegrass Wise Man ™: That, or break to find his spot almost as fast. What he doesn't want to do is be forced to run wide. But let's talk about what the distance means. At a mile-long track, if the finish line is to the end of the stretch, then the gate will be an eighth of a mile behind that. So that's gonna mean two football fields and a bit to the turn. Chrome is a big horse, let's say he covers an average of 20-feet per full stride, or just under 7 yards. In other words, at 220 yards, Chrome's got just thirty strides, give or take, to figure himself out. By contrast, at the Breeders' – which is the last time these two horses met—he had twice that, sixty strides or probably more. That's why the Pegasus is such a jockey's race. Lotta tactics gonna have to be jammed into the first twenty seconds." - via an article in Forbes

Chrome is 6-5 and the other fave is Arrogate at 7-5. Arrogate drew the 1 hole which is perfect for him cuz he likes to be up front. I think there's some big value in three other horses:
Neolithic in post 3 at 30-1
Shaman Ghost in post 7 at 20-1
Keen Ice in post 9 at 12-1
All three have stud jockeys today.

My plays today:
Perfecta box 3,7,9
Trifecta box 1,3,7,9,12
Superfecta box 1,3,7,9,12
Win bets on the 3,7,9

fingers crossed

[Razorback]

Originally Posted by Razorback

"California Chrome drew the 12 spot. It's a tough hole. First, since 2006, when the Gulfstream track was reconfigured, horses racing at the 1 1/8th mile distance and breaking from the 12 hole are 1 for 18. Think about that for a second. It's eleven years. Eighteen horses. One win.

Chrome will have to give it some gas for that eighth of a mile.

Bluegrass Wise Man ™: That, or break to find his spot almost as fast. What he doesn't want to do is be forced to run wide. But let's talk about what the distance means. At a mile-long track, if the finish line is to the end of the stretch, then the gate will be an eighth of a mile behind that. So that's gonna mean two football fields and a bit to the turn. Chrome is a big horse, let's say he covers an average of 20-feet per full stride, or just under 7 yards. In other words, at 220 yards, Chrome's got just thirty strides, give or take, to figure himself out. By contrast, at the Breeders' – which is the last time these two horses met—he had twice that, sixty strides or probably more. That's why the Pegasus is such a jockey's race. Lotta tactics gonna have to be jammed into the first twenty seconds." - via an article in Forbes

Chrome is 6-5 and the other fave is Arrogate at 7-5. Arrogate drew the 1 hole which is perfect for him cuz he likes to be up front. I think there's some big value in three other horses:
Neolithic in post 3 at 30-1
Shaman Ghost in post 7 at 20-1
Keen Ice in post 9 at 12-1
All three have stud jockeys today.

My plays today:
Perfecta box 3,7,9
Trifecta box 1,3,7,9,12
Superfecta box 1,3,7,9,12
Win bets on the 3,7,9

fingers crossed

Finished 1,7,3,9
Arrogate winning denied me a potential windfall, but still made good $$ on tri and super

[K3nTaKa0s]

Just put in a par...

Federer +105
Saint Mary's/Santa Clara Over 118

[ryguy469]

Hoping to turn my luck

Maryland +2.5 @ tOSU
Maryland ML

[ryguy469]

Originally Posted by ryguy469

Hoping to turn my luck

Maryland +2.5 @ tOSU
Maryland ML

Finally end a nasty little run

[Jake]

in case I get caught up tomorrow, here's my Super Bowl LI plays


sitting on Atlanta at 13/5 already, and traditionally take 'the field' for first TD, which now means individual plays on each team at 20/1 and 22/1. As for the game

OVER 58.5
everyone thinking NE runs the ball a lot is mistaken


OVER 2:07.5 Luke Bryant National Anthem
he said he speeds up if he's nervous... he won't be


OVER 4.5 Patriots to carry the ball
Blunt, White, Lewis, Brady, a wide receiver


Gabriel +9.5 yds v Hogan WR yds
you think Atlanta doesn't know about Hogan by now?


Coleman +17.5 yds rushing v 1st quarter Raptors/Nets total pts
I like Coleman a lot in this game


OVER 13.5 yds receiving Hooper
he's very underrated


OVER 5.5 tackles/assists Chung
covering the TE's that will have a big game


OVER 28.5 yds rushing/receiving White
that feels very low. Got an early number




YTD 186-179-6
NFL 45-42-3
Bowls 20-17
playoffs 7-8

[rconverse]

Taking the under and those dirty, dirty, disgusting birds.

[Razorback]

Atlanta Falcons +3 -107
Atlanta Falcons +138
Atlanta Falcons 1st Quarter pk,-½ +137
ATL scores first +100
ATL pass completions Over 26½ -115
ATL scores 10+ points first in game +105
NFL Super Bowl LI Most Valuable Player - Matt Ryan (QB - Falcons) +215
NFL Super Bowl LI Player to score first TD - Julio Jones (ATL) +850
NFL Super Bowl LI Player to score first TD - Mohamed Sanu (ATL) +1250
M.Ryan pass attempts over 38½ -11
NE no converted 4th down -160

Playoffs: 6-4

[Jake]

adding

OVER 38.5 pass attempts Brady

[Jake]

2 more adds:


Atlanta to score 1st

OVER 57


think that number is going the wrong way

[Brohan_Santana]

Put my largest bet ever on the Under. That line is way too high, never felt more conviction in a bet before