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Old 01-15-2003, 08:17 PM   #1
mcgillespie
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How many members are in the Warehouse?

I joined this summer, but am wondering what the odds are for this solo tour.
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  • Old 01-15-2003, 08:21 PM   #2
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    Way too many people .......... which makes for bad odds.
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    Old 01-15-2003, 08:22 PM   #3
    mcgillespie
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    That's what I was afraid of. This tour will probably be the highest in demand too.:
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    Old 01-15-2003, 08:23 PM   #4
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    whatever it was, it aint anymore. bet the membership numbers shot into the sky today, and since seniority is out of this tour, its every man for himself.
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    Old 01-15-2003, 08:27 PM   #5
    Zulu
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    Here's how Warehouse lottery ticket selection works: You enter the lottery between the selected dates (for the upcoming D & T tour, it's Jan. 17-28), then Warehouse does a lottery of whoever applied. It's totally random and seniority means nothing. Last year, after they selected the people who got tix, then they gave the better seats out based on seniority. But they said that this year, they won't do that. Everything will be random.
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    Old 01-15-2003, 08:38 PM   #6
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    I have a feeling that once they go back to stadium tours like the Vet or Giants, seniority will be put back in place, many many more seats.

    For something like this, good luck!
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    Old 01-15-2003, 08:41 PM   #7
    mcgillespie
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    Yeah I'm sure seniority will be back in effect for the summer tour, but the limited seating would reject even 4 year old members for this tour.
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    Old 01-15-2003, 08:46 PM   #8
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    less then 5000 (more like 4500) warehouse tickets for a venue to 85,000 members (80,000 in april of 2002 ruff guess of 5000 since then)
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    Old 01-15-2003, 08:53 PM   #9
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    Quote:
    Originally posted by Joe M.
    less then 5000 (more like 4500) warehouse tickets for a venue to 85,000 members (80,000 in april of 2002 ruff guess of 5000 since then)
    :
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    Old 01-15-2003, 10:10 PM   #10
    onesweetworld15
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    Again, rumor had it that 80,000 tickets were requested for the DMB Charlotte show this year...Can you imagine 100,000 requests for 4,000 available tickets? Man this is going to be brutal when a 4 year member gets denied to a guy who joined today...
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    Old 01-15-2003, 10:14 PM   #11
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    exactly...it should ALWAYS be no senority or always senority.
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    Old 01-15-2003, 10:40 PM   #12
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    Quote:
    Originally posted by Joe M.
    less then 5000 (more like 4500) warehouse tickets for a venue to 85,000 members (80,000 in april of 2002 ruff guess of 5000 since then)
    That's the size of some of these venues, and the WH of course won't get all the tickets. So for example, if the WH got half the tickets at a 6000 seat venue, that's 3000 WH tickets. But then you factor in that most people order tickets in pairs. That means that only 1500 WH members get tickets for that show. :
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    Old 01-15-2003, 10:48 PM   #13
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    I am praying that I get tickets for at least one show on this acoustic tour...that would be a dream come true.
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    Old 01-15-2003, 11:43 PM   #14
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    Quote:
    Originally posted by dmbkristin
    That's the size of some of these venues, and the WH of course won't get all the tickets. So for example, if the WH got half the tickets at a 6000 seat venue, that's 3000 WH tickets. But then you factor in that most people order tickets in pairs. That means that only 1500 WH members get tickets for that show. :
    yea i just took the venue size for the ohio show

    but damn how did i forget about pairs... dear god...
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    Old 01-16-2003, 01:34 AM   #15
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    I posted the probabilities here...

    Oops!
    by Scott74285 on 4:34 AM 01-16-03
    Ok, good news and bad news...I figured out that ah, my numbers are wrong. Probabilities are actually less, because...member requests are actually not equal to seats, because we almost exclusively request in pairs, the division is carried out once more--> the previous probabilities, are halved.

    I figured this out, assuming that reasonably, 60% of all approximately 85,000 WH members (51,000) request a ticket for each of the venues, and that 1/2 of the ticket alottment goes to WHers, and the other half, students. I rounded up, for all you dreamers.

    UConn (3/19): Total capacity; 4800. WH alottment: 2400. If you request 1 pair for this show, your probability of getting accepted: 2.4%

    URI (3/20): Total cap; 7700. WH alottment: 3350. Your probability: 3.3%

    Radio City (3/22): Total cap; 5900. WH alottment: 2950. Your probability: 2.9%

    West Pt. (3/23): Total cap; 4325. WH alottment: 2163. Your probability: 2.1%

    Davidson (3/25): Total cap; 7000. WH alottment: 3500. Your probability: 3.5%

    ODU (3/26): Total cap; 9300. WH alottment: 4150. Your probability: 4.1%

    Winston-Salem (3/28): Total cap; 3,500 or 16,000. WH alottment: 1750 or 8000. Your probability: 1.7% or 7.9%

    App. St (3/29): Total cap; 8800. WH alottment: 4400. Your probability: 4.3%

    Miami, OH (3/31): Total cap; 750, 10000, or 25000. WH alottment: 375, 5000, or 12,500. Your probability: .4%, 4.9%, 12.3%

    CMU (4/1): Total cap; 7000. WH alottment: 3500. Your probability: 3.4%

    Purdue (4/3): Total cap; 6027. WH alottment: 3014. Your probability: 3.0%

    Carthage (4/4): Total cap; 2400. WH alottment: 1200. Your probability: 1.2%

    Scott | Too much, nah....
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    Old 01-16-2003, 04:15 AM   #16
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    Im not a Warehouse member..

    Actually I am not a Warehouse member yet, I am a "newbie" fan...

    Only been listening to DMB for about a year, since I went to a show last year, and have been hardcore into them for only about 3 months..

    What is the chances of someone not in Warehouse getting tix to a show? Do I have practically no chance of getting tix?

    Id be willing to drive around 10 hours to go see the RI show..
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    Old 01-16-2003, 04:28 AM   #17
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    Re: Im not a Warehouse member..

    Quote:
    Originally posted by kazual
    Actually I am not a Warehouse member yet, I am a "newbie" fan...

    Only been listening to DMB for about a year, since I went to a show last year, and have been hardcore into them for only about 3 months..

    What is the chances of someone not in Warehouse getting tix to a show? Do I have practically no chance of getting tix?

    Id be willing to drive around 10 hours to go see the RI show..
    your not a newbie fan...

    but... it depends on how many tickets are given to ticketbastard as to your chances
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    Old 01-16-2003, 04:39 AM   #18
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    8)

    Well, I consider myself quite a newbie sitting around talking to people that have been fans since the mid 90's :

    Guess Ill juts have to keep my eyes open, and hope I can get my hands on some.

    Thanks,

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    Old 01-16-2003, 04:54 AM   #19
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    There's only ~85000 Warehouse members?!?!? Surely that's not right, unless they started membership numbers at some odd number. My membership number is around 52000, and I signed up within the first 2 months the Warehouse opened. I can't imagine there only being ~30000 more signups in the 4 years since.
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    Old 01-16-2003, 05:08 AM   #20
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    Quote:
    Originally posted by deercreek
    There's only ~85000 Warehouse members?!?!? Surely that's not right, unless they started membership numbers at some odd number. My membership number is around 52000, and I signed up within the first 2 months the Warehouse opened. I can't imagine there only being ~30000 more signups in the 4 years since.
    yep ~85000.

    I remember back on the ML someone did a TON of research on this asking people for membership numbers and when they joined. If i remember correctly it started in 32000 (for some reason i remember 3 as the primary number). And it started going up from there. But then there was a jump to like 70000 or something. So pretty much the warehouse membership numbers mean nothing.
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    Old 01-16-2003, 06:51 AM   #21
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    Not every WH member is going to request tickets though. Like perhaps every WH member west of the Mississippi? I guess Dave thinks he only has fans in the NE. I mean, its not like he just did his winter tour in the NE or anything...
    Thanks for the shaft again Dave!

    Signed,
    Disgruntled southwest DMB fan
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    Old 01-16-2003, 07:14 AM   #22
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    Why they started with 32,000 or whatever... who knows... wierd ass fan club...


    but uh...

    eyah...

    um can we keep the bitching about dave not coming to sites west of the MS river to 1 thread...?

    please?
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    Old 01-16-2003, 07:23 AM   #23
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    I think that probability is a little off. A lot of fans don't have the time\money to fly out to the east coast for these shows from the west coast or other parts of the world for that matter. Hope is a good thing....keep it alive!!
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    Old 01-16-2003, 07:50 AM   #24
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    The numbering started at 10,000

    my number is 15,450 and joined the first day...
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    Old 01-16-2003, 07:54 AM   #25
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    Quote:
    Originally posted by errnine
    The numbering started at 10,000

    my number is 15,450 and joined the first day...
    Thanks for the clarification errrnine. Maybe the jump was to 32000. Like I said this was back on the ML. What I do know is i'm a 3rd year and my number is in the 200000 and on april of 2002 they had 80000 members so numbers you can't judge by. (though i do think they are all increasing just not with no gaps)
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    Old 01-16-2003, 08:23 AM   #26
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    The numbering started at 10,000

    my number is 15,450 and joined the first day...
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    Old 01-16-2003, 09:01 AM   #27
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    Quote:
    Originally posted by Scott74285
    I posted the probabilities here...

    Oops!
    by Scott74285 on 4:34 AM 01-16-03
    Ok, good news and bad news...I figured out that ah, my numbers are wrong. Probabilities are actually less, because...member requests are actually not equal to seats, because we almost exclusively request in pairs, the division is carried out once more--> the previous probabilities, are halved.

    I figured this out, assuming that reasonably, 60% of all approximately 85,000 WH members (51,000) request a ticket for each of the venues, and that 1/2 of the ticket alottment goes to WHers, and the other half, students. I rounded up, for all you dreamers.

    UConn (3/19): Total capacity; 4800. WH alottment: 2400. If you request 1 pair for this show, your probability of getting accepted: 2.4%

    URI (3/20): Total cap; 7700. WH alottment: 3350. Your probability: 3.3%

    Radio City (3/22): Total cap; 5900. WH alottment: 2950. Your probability: 2.9%

    West Pt. (3/23): Total cap; 4325. WH alottment: 2163. Your probability: 2.1%

    Davidson (3/25): Total cap; 7000. WH alottment: 3500. Your probability: 3.5%

    ODU (3/26): Total cap; 9300. WH alottment: 4150. Your probability: 4.1%

    Winston-Salem (3/28): Total cap; 3,500 or 16,000. WH alottment: 1750 or 8000. Your probability: 1.7% or 7.9%

    App. St (3/29): Total cap; 8800. WH alottment: 4400. Your probability: 4.3%

    Miami, OH (3/31): Total cap; 750, 10000, or 25000. WH alottment: 375, 5000, or 12,500. Your probability: .4%, 4.9%, 12.3%

    CMU (4/1): Total cap; 7000. WH alottment: 3500. Your probability: 3.4%

    Purdue (4/3): Total cap; 6027. WH alottment: 3014. Your probability: 3.0%

    Carthage (4/4): Total cap; 2400. WH alottment: 1200. Your probability: 1.2%

    Scott | Too much, nah....
    Your numbers aren't entirely accurate. For example you are using 2400 for Carthage. However that is just the bleacher capacity. There will surely be floor seating that will add to the max. capacity.
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    Old 01-16-2003, 09:12 AM   #28
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    Quote:
    Originally posted by errnine
    The numbering started at 10,000

    my number is 15,450 and joined the first day...
    there was a jump in the numbering sometime during that first year...

    not sure when it happened but 20,000 or so numbers dont exist
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    Old 01-16-2003, 09:14 AM   #29
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    Been a Warehouseman since day 1 :P
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    Old 01-16-2003, 09:27 AM   #30
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    i think the no seniorty is good... younger people, like me- in 15 wernt into music much at all when ware house begain- but as we come o apprecate music we want to have perks too
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