I posted the probabilities here...
Oops!
by Scott74285 on 4:34 AM 01-16-03
Ok, good news and bad news...I figured out that ah, my numbers are wrong. Probabilities are actually less, because...member requests are actually not equal to seats, because we almost exclusively request in pairs, the division is carried out once more--> the previous probabilities, are halved.
I figured this out, assuming that reasonably, 60% of all approximately 85,000 WH members (51,000) request a ticket for each of the venues, and that 1/2 of the ticket alottment goes to WHers, and the other half, students. I rounded up, for all you dreamers.
UConn (3/19): Total capacity; 4800. WH alottment: 2400. If you request 1 pair for this show, your probability of getting accepted: 2.4%
URI (3/20): Total cap; 7700. WH alottment: 3350. Your probability: 3.3%
Radio City (3/22): Total cap; 5900. WH alottment: 2950. Your probability: 2.9%
West Pt. (3/23): Total cap; 4325. WH alottment: 2163. Your probability: 2.1%
Davidson (3/25): Total cap; 7000. WH alottment: 3500. Your probability: 3.5%
ODU (3/26): Total cap; 9300. WH alottment: 4150. Your probability: 4.1%
Winston-Salem (3/28): Total cap; 3,500 or 16,000. WH alottment: 1750 or 8000. Your probability: 1.7% or 7.9%
App. St (3/29): Total cap; 8800. WH alottment: 4400. Your probability: 4.3%
Miami, OH (3/31): Total cap; 750, 10000, or 25000. WH alottment: 375, 5000, or 12,500. Your probability: .4%, 4.9%, 12.3%
CMU (4/1): Total cap; 7000. WH alottment: 3500. Your probability: 3.4%
Purdue (4/3): Total cap; 6027. WH alottment: 3014. Your probability: 3.0%
Carthage (4/4): Total cap; 2400. WH alottment: 1200. Your probability: 1.2%
Scott | Too much, nah....
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