Quote:
Originally Posted by scrock25
No no, right. I’m not saying it’s a good thing, just trying to understand the data.
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I think the other element you’re looking at is the economic impact
In Dec 2019, FL had an U3 rate of 2.9%, and in Dec 2020 it was 6.1%; an increase of 110%. This is the same % increase as NY. Compared to a state that was relatively strict and not an early hit state - say, Michigan - where the U3 was 3.9% in Dec 2019 and 7.5% in Dec 2020; an increase of 92%.
https://www.bls.gov/news.release/laus.nr0.htm
So I’m not sure there’s enough to say (yet) that’s there’s a necessary correlation between states with more vs less restrictions. The economic impact is fairly widespread and very few states in the middle of the pack of cases are better off than any other. Conversely, you have South Dakota, where the U3 rate is actually LOWER than in Dec 2019, but they are 2nd worst in cases per 100K.
I think we need to see how states rebound to make definitive judgements on how these states handled things and the economic impact. We have some evidence from Spanish Flu to suggest states with tighter restrictions actually saw swifter economic recovery. So some remains to be seen here.